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Technical Charts Suggest Possible Relief Rally After Recent Fall

  • By Kotak News Desk
  • 05 Mar 2026 at 5:53 PM IST
  • Market News
  •  4 minutes read
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Oversold signals are appearing after the recent market slide, raising hopes of a short-term rebound. Experts, however, say global activity will continue to influence market direction.

The Indian stock market is continuing to experience a rough patch. With the last few sessions showing a downtrend across major indices, investors are being extra cautious, and many traders are now looking at technical charts more closely than usual.

A few technical indicators are beginning to show oversold conditions after the recent fall. This has raised one immediate question in the market: Could a short recovery follow from here?

Oversold conditions usually appear when prices fall sharply within a short span, and selling becomes unusually strong. At such times, a short bounce is usually expected.

A bounce does not always mean the market has turned around. It is often treated as a short recovery, which is why traders are now watching these signals carefully before making fresh moves.

The recent global developments have had a strong influence on the Indian markets. Oil prices have risen as tensions continue in the Middle East. For markets like India, which depend heavily on imported crude oil, this usually adds another layer of concern. Airline stocks have also come under pressure because fuel becomes more expensive when oil prices move up. At the same time, foreign institutional investors have been selling Indian equities in recent sessions, adding to the overall weakness in the market.

Technical charts at this stage are mainly used to identify support zones, where the market may try to stabilise after a sharp fall. For now, the charts suggest that the next few sessions will be important in deciding whether the market is only pausing or preparing for a brief recovery.

Even with oversold signals appearing on charts, experts say it may be too early to assume the market has fully stabilised.

Ajay Bagga, a market expert and banking analyst, said global developments are still shaping short-term sentiment. According to him, investors are reacting more to rising oil prices, geopolitical tensions and foreign fund activity, even though India’s broader fundamentals remain stable. He remains optimistic on sectors linked to domestic growth, particularly defence, metals and automobiles, which he believes continue to show structural strength despite current market volatility.

Rohit Srivastava, founder of IndiaCharts, said the charts are pointing to the possibility of a short rebound, especially in the Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty. He said Nifty may attempt to move back towards 24,600, which was an important breakdown level, and may move closer to 25,000 if buying improves further. A similar move in Bank Nifty, according to him, could take the index closer to earlier support levels if market sentiment improves.

For now, experts believe any such recovery will still depend on whether buying returns strongly enough to hold these levels.

Also Read - India Plans 5 More S-400 Systems As Focus On Air Defence Grows

The next steps will largely depend on how global situations develop in the upcoming days. If tensions rise further, markets may remain unsettled.

If that pressure begins to ease, some recovery from current levels is possible.

For now, experts say investors may be better off waiting instead of taking quick positions before the picture becomes clearer.

Source:

Economic Times

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