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India's Net FDI Inflows Drop For The Fifth Month In A Row

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India’s net FDI stayed negative for five months as profit repatriation surged to $4.92 billion in January. Global conflicts and rupee pressure pushed capital to Mexico and Vietnam, which saw record inflows from nearshoring and China-plus-one shifts.

India’s foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow has been lower than the outflows, keeping net FDI in the negative for five months in a row. In January 2026, India saw $1.39 billion leave the country more than what came in. That's much higher than the $492 million net outflow in December 2025.

Investments flowing into India stayed steady at $5.67 billion but foreign firms pulled out $4.92 billion through profit repatriation and selling off their stakes, a sharp jump from earlier months.

Indian companies also sent out $2.14 billion as outbound investments, adding to overall outflows. For the April 2025 to January 2026 period, net FDI dropped sharply. It stood at $1.65 billion, down nearly 25% from the same months a year earlier.

Rising global conflicts, mainly the West Asia war and rupee pressure are reducing net FDI inflows into India. Geopolitical uncertainty causes investments to flow into safe destinations, which postpones long-term investments.

The pattern of rich Indians moving money out of the country is yet another indicator of reduced appetite for investment within the country. Such movements of capital mean less reinvested earnings, an essential part of FDI.

The Economic Survey for 2025–26 points to a clear gap. FDI into India is not keeping pace with its potential. This comes even as the country shows steady growth, stable numbers and a large consumer base. At the same time, places like Vietnam, Malaysia, Thailand, Taiwan, Australia and the Philippines are attracting more global money.

The report made a simple point. Foreign investors care more about speed and clear rules. They also look for strong political backing. A mix of overlapping incentives does not help much.

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Mexico attracted a record $40.9 billion in FDI in 2025. Global companies are choosing it to stay closer to the US market.

Vietnam also saw strong inflows. FDI rose 61.5% in early 2026 as manufacturers moved some production out of China.

The Economic Survey pointed to a clear trend. A few emerging economies are stepping in as connector countries as supply chains shift and tariff risks rise.

Sources:

The Economic Times

The Hindu

Business Standard

The New Indian Express

Mexico Business News

VnEconomy

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is not produced by the desk of the Kotak Securities Research Team, nor is it a report published by the Kotak Securities Research Team. The information presented is compiled from several secondary sources available on the internet and may change over time. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions. Read the full disclaimer here.

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