Reliance Loses Nearly ₹3 lakh Crore In Value This Year. Is RIL Still A Value Bet?

  • By Kotak News Desk
  • 12 Mar 2026 at 4:43 PM IST
  • Market News
  •  4 minutes read
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Reliance Industries has lost nearly ₹3 lakh crore in market value this year after outperforming the NIFTY 50 in 2025, as concerns around earnings visibility, retail competition and delayed growth triggers weigh on investor sentiment.

Shares of Reliance Industries have erased nearly ₹3 lakh crore in investor wealth so far in 2026, putting pressure on a stock that has been seen as one of India’s most dependable large-cap bets. The correction comes after a strong 2025, when Reliance was still among the stocks most investors were comfortable holding.

With growth triggers in telecom, retail, and new energy still unfolding, the recent fall has reopened a familiar market debate. Is this another temporary correction in Reliance, or does the stock now need a clearer earnings trigger to regain momentum?

Reliance shares had ended 2025 on a strong note, up nearly 29% for the year and ahead of the NIFTY 50, before the stock began losing momentum in 2026. Market sentiment has turned cautious because some of Reliance’s core businesses have not delivered the kind of earnings visibility investors were looking for.

The oil-to-chemicals business has faced lower margins, while gains from newer areas are taking longer to show up in quarterly numbers. For a stock that usually trades with high expectations, even a slower quarter tends to invite caution.

Retail has also come into focus. Reliance Retail still has scale on its side, but quick-commerce is now hard to ignore. In major cities, faster delivery through Blinkit, Zepto and Instamart is steadily changing everyday buying habits.

One reason the stock has stayed under pressure is that the next big trigger is still not clearly visible. Reliance has spent heavily on newer areas such as solar manufacturing, battery storage and green hydrogen, but these businesses are still some distance away from becoming earnings drivers. For now, they remain part of the long-term story rather than something the market can see immediately.

The same wait-and-watch mood is visible in telecom and retail. Jio Platforms continues to lead the telecom market, but investors are looking for the next round of gains from higher telecom prices to support revenue growth.

In retail, too, the business remains large, though recent quarters have not produced the kind of surprise that usually pushes sentiment higher.

Reliance’s sheer size is another factor. With a market capitalisation close to ₹19 lakh crore, even incremental improvements in operations may not immediately translate into sharp stock moves, meaning the market is waiting for larger triggers to emerge.

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Investors are now watching whether better earnings can help the stock stabilise again. Reliance has seen phases of slower momentum before, yet each time the company has found a new growth driver over the longer term.

It moved from being led largely by energy to building major consumer and digital businesses, with telecom and retail becoming central to its market story. That history is one reason many long-term investors continue to stay patient with the stock.

Analysts are not reading the fall as a break in the broader story, but they do say investors may need clearer signals before sentiment improves again. Better earnings from telecom and retail, progress in new energy, and visibility on future listings are among the triggers being watched.

For now, the nearly ₹3 lakh crore erosion in market value is also a reminder that even widely trusted stocks do not move only on reputation. Investors still look for fresh reasons to stay positive.

Sources:

Economic Times

Times of India

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is not produced by the desk of the Kotak Securities Research Team, nor is it a report published by the Kotak Securities Research Team. The information presented is compiled from several secondary sources available on the internet and may change over time. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions. Read the full disclaimer here.

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